Men's Picks

56.9%

Beat Vegas†

picks w/ edge ≥ 2 pts

9.1%

ROI

Flat $100/game

1,919

Games Tracked

edge ≥ 2 pts only

† Record includes only games where BBMI and Vegas lines differ by ≥ 2 points (1,919 of 2,927 completed games). The Vegas line is captured at a specific point in time — lines routinely move 1–2 points between open and tip-off, and can vary by a point or more across different books. A difference smaller than 2 pts is within normal market noise and does not represent a meaningful BBMI disagreement with Vegas. View full public log →

66.2%win rate on picks with edge ≥ 6 pts

vs 56.9% overall · documented across 355 picks

🔒 2 high-edge picks locked today

Win Rate by Edge Size — by Week

Higher edge disagreements with Vegas produce stronger outcomes

50% break-even

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Historical Performance by Edge Size

Edge Size	Games	Win %	95% CI	ROI
2–5 pts	1,349	54.2%	51.5%–56.8%	3.9%
5–6 pts	215	58.6%	51.9%–65.0%	12.3%
6–7 pts	132	60.6%	52.1%–68.5%	16.0%
7–8 pts	105	65.7%	56.2%–74.1%	26.3%
>8 pts	118	72.9%	64.2%–80.1%	39.6%
Includes only picks where edge ≥ 2 pts — differences smaller than 2 pts are within normal line movement and book-to-book variation · 95% CI uses Wilson score method.

How to use this page: Free picks (edge < 6 pts) are shown below. Subscribe to unlock high-edge picks ≥ 6 pts — historically 66.2% accurate.

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Showing 10 of 10 games· 2 high-edge picks locked 🔒

Free picks shown for edge < 6 pts.

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Team record below name = BBMI W-L when picking that team

Injury flag — Out/Doubtful players: ~10% team min ~15% 15%+· hover for details · informational only

Score	Away⇅	Home⇅	Vegas Line⇅	BBMI Line⇅	Edge▼	BBMI Pick⇅	BBMI Win%⇅	Vegas Win%⇅
🔒High-edge pick — Edge ≥ 6 ptsThese picks are 66.2% accurate historically
🔒High-edge pick — Edge ≥ 6 ptsThese picks are 66.2% accurate historically
2026-03-18	Miami (OH) 5-4	Southern Methodist 5-4	-6.5	-1.5	5.0	Miami (OH)	55.5%	75.8%
2026-03-18	Kent State 5-6	Illinois State 7-4	-6.5	-3.5	3.0	Kent State	62.8%	76.5%
2026-03-18	George Washington 4-5	Utah Valley 3-4	-1.5	-4.5	3.0	Utah Valley	66.2%	56.6%
2026-03-18	Illinois-Chicago 8-4	California 8-7	-4.5	-2.5	2.0	Illinois-Chicago	59.2%	69.1%
2026-03-18	Prairie View A&M 9-6	Lehigh 8-2	-3.5	-1.5	2.0	Prairie View A&M	55.5%	65.1%
2026-03-18	Saint Joseph's 11-1	Colorado State 6-4	-5.5	-4.5	~1.0	Saint Joseph's	66.2%	70.4%
2026-03-18	Dayton 1-2	Bradley 2-1	1.5	2.5	~1.0	Dayton	40.8%	48.8%
2026-03-18	Murray State 1-4	Nevada 9-4	-8.5	-9.5	~1.0	Nevada	81.2%	82.8%
2 high-edge picks locked above — historically 66.2% accurate vs 56.9% overall